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Iran Conflict: Oil & Gold Market Signals

Escalating tensions involving Iran carry significant risk to the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of global oil supply transits. Any disruption scenario drives immediate spikes in crude oil (USOIL, Brent) and triggers safe-haven flows into gold (XAU/USD). Iranian proxy activity across Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon creates overlapping geopolitical risk vectors affecting energy infrastructure and regional stability.

Market Signals

WTI Crude Oil
High volatility — Hormuz risk premium
Gold (XAU/USD)
Safe-haven bid — geopolitical floor
Energy Stocks
Bullish on escalation
USD Index (DXY)
Moderate strengthening — risk-off flows

Tracked Markets

USOIL (WTI)Brent CrudeGold (XAU/USD)USO ETFIsraeli Shekel (ILS)

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Last updated: 2026-04-11 · War Calendar provides market intelligence, not financial advice.